Political analyst and former ally of the African Democratic Congress, Segun Sowunmi, has predicted that President Bola Tinubu may record a weaker performance in the 2027 presidential election.
Sowunmi said the contest is likely to be mainly between Tinubu and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar.
Speaking on Arise Television’s Morning Show, he projected that Tinubu could secure about 22 states but may still face challenges in some northern regions.
According to him, Tinubu is expected to perform better in the Southeast, Southwest, South-South, and North-Central compared to previous elections, while also improving his numbers in the Northwest.
However, Sowunmi noted that the president’s biggest challenge could come from parts of the North, where key political players and influential figures may shape the outcome.
He pointed to shifting alliances and the influence of major political stakeholders in states like Katsina and Kano as factors that could affect the election dynamics.
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BACKSTORY…
The comment by Segun Sowunmi comes amid increasing political realignments and early permutations ahead of the 2027 presidential election in Nigeria.
With President Bola Tinubu expected to seek a second term, opposition figures have begun positioning themselves, with Atiku Abubakar remaining one of the strongest contenders.
Sowunmi, who has been a long-time ally of Atiku, has often weighed in on national politics and electoral strategies, making his latest prediction part of the growing debate over possible major contenders in the next election.
His remarks also reflect ongoing discussions around shifting alliances, regional voting patterns, and the influence of political heavyweights as parties begin to strategize for 2027.
